Manipulated Electorates and Information Aggregation∗
نویسندگان
چکیده
We study information aggregation with a biased election organizer who recruits voters at some cost. Voters are symmetric ex-ante and prefer policy a in state A and policy b in state B, but the organizer prefers policy a regardless of the state. Each recruited voter observes a private signal that is imperfectly informative about the unknown state, but does not learn the size of the electorate. In contrast to existing results for large elections, there are equilibria in which information aggregation fails: As the voter recruitment cost disappears, a perfectly informed organizer can ensure that policy a is implemented independent of the state by appropriately choosing the number of recruited voters in each state. ∗We are grateful for helpful comments from Dirk Bergemann, Laurent Bouton, Hulya Eraslan, Christian Hellwig, Nenad Kos, Thomas Mariotti, Wolfgang Pesendorfer, Larry Samuelson, Ronny Razin, Andrew Newman as well as comments from seminar audiences at Yale, USC, UCLA, ASU, Princeton, Bonn, Oslo, Cerge-ei, HEC Paris, Toulouse, Georgetown, Maastricht, UCL, LSE, Boston University and Rochester, and audiences at the workshop on Games, Contracts and Organizations in Santiago, Chile, Stony Brook Game Theory Festival, CETC 2014, Warwick Economic Theory Conference and NBER conference on GE at Wisconsin-Madison. Krisztina Horvath and Lin Zhang provided valuable proof reading. Lauermann thanks Cowles Foundation at Yale University and Ekmekci thanks Toulouse School of Economics for their hospitality.
منابع مشابه
Aggregating infinitely many probability measures
The problem of how to rationally aggregate probability measures occurs in particular (i) when a group of agents, each holding probabilistic beliefs, needs to rationalise a collective decision on the basis of a single ‘aggregate belief system’ and (ii) when an individual whose belief system is compatible with several (possibly infinitely many) probability measures wishes to evaluate her options ...
متن کاملCostly information acquisition . Part I : better to toss a coin ? ∗
In a common-values election with two candidates voters receive a signal about which candidate is superior. They can acquire information that improves the precision of the signal. Electors differ in their information acquisition costs. For large electorates a non negligible fraction of voters acquires information, but the quantity of informed voters and the quality of acquired information declin...
متن کاملIncomplete Preferences in Single-Peaked Electorates
Incomplete preferences are likely to arise in realworld preference aggregation and voting systems. This paper deals with determining whether an incomplete preference profile is single-peaked. This is essential information since many intractable voting problems become tractable for single-peaked profiles. We prove that for incomplete profiles the problem of determining single-peakedness is NPcom...
متن کاملThe welfare effects of public opinion polls
This paper presents an experimental study of the effects of polls on voters’ welfare. The analysis shows that polls have a different effect on closely divided and lopsided divided electorates. The data show that in closely divided electorates (and only for these electorates) the provision of information on the voters’ distribution of preferences significantly raises the participation of subject...
متن کاملApproval voting and scoring rules with common values
We compare approval voting with other scoring rules for environments with common values and private information. For finite electorates, the best equilibrium under approval voting is superior to plurality rule or negative voting. For large electorates, if any scoring rule yields a sequence of equilibria that aggregates information, then approval voting must do so as well.
متن کامل